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Mapping the Presidential Vote

        For a fantastic site about Presidential election maps, see http://www.270towin.com

        I've selected thumbnails from that site to illustrate the tremendous swings that have taken place in just a few years in presidential elections in U.S. history and to counter the impression many have that "you can't fight city hall", or that struggling to make major changes in our country is hopeless.


LBJ's Prophecy:

        David Halberstam, in his book on the Civil Rights movement entitled "The Children", quotes Lyndon Johnson talking with Bill Moyers right after the Voting Rights Act of 1965 had passed by large margins in the Congress of the United States. This positive vote followed the arousing of the public's consciousness by the Abu Ghraib-like use of dogs and fire hoses on black citizens in Alabama. Klan groups, under the direct protection of Southern State Troopers and local police, had also attacked blacks with baseball bats and lead pipes in public places, which had been seen on national television. Moyers expected to find President Johnson jubilant over this legislative victory. Instead he found the President strangely silent. When Moyers enquired as to the reason, Johnson said rather prophetically, "Bill, I've just handed the South to the Republicans for fifty years, (until 2015) certainly for the rest of our life times."
        The two parties went through such a complete transformation at this point that all but five states switched to the opposite party between 1964 and 1952!

        Who could have predicted that after overwhelmingly defeating the liberal Democratic candidate in 1928, the Republicans would be replaced in just 8 short years by Al Smith's successor as governor of New York, the equally Liberal Democrat Franklin D. Roosevelt, who would carry every state but Maine and Vermont, in 1936?

        By the turn of the twentieth century the only Democratic states in the country were in the deep south. Who could have predicted that just 8 years later, the whole country would have turned Democratic? Although Woodrow WIlson was a Southern Democrat by upbringing and sadly never outgrew his racism, he was one of the first new breed Liberal Democrats in many respects. and one of the reasons that he won so many states in 1912 is that the Republican leaders had rejected their own liberal and very popular former president Teddy Roosevelt, and chosen instead to try to keep the much more conservative Howard Taft in office.

        Immediately after the Civil War, in 1868, the Republican victors controlled most of the country. But by 1880, the white Conservative Democrats were back in control of the former Confederate states, while the rest of "the union" remained Republican.

        After reading a great article by Paul Rosenberg, published on Dec 22, 2007 at http://www.openleft.com/showDiary.do;jsessionid=16CAF334C0764FB3489EF179B54CB586?diaryId=2899 , I decided to try to enhance the point he made there with the tables below. Rosenberg's excellent point was that there is no basis in American history for the currently popular idea that the ideal in politics is to find a happy consensus "in the middle". On the contrary, politics is essentially a contest between parties representing rival points of view and that most of the time Americans have chosen between those rivals and given both houses of Congress and the presidency to one side or the other. If Americans want a government that gets things done, they need to do what their predecessors did and put the party that best represents their wishes in charge of the House, the Senate and the presidency simultaneously.
    The enhancement that I believe my tables bring to Rosenberg's article is that
  • they start with the emergence of the Republican Party, and
  • they show only the two year periods when all three were in the same hands, and
  • they show the president at the time, if and when their party controlled Congress, and .
  • because the ideological contrast between the parties is much more significant than the names "Democrat" vs. "Republican" - as it is clear that the U.S. parties have virtually turned themselves inside out ideologically since Lincoln's day, it's "Liberal" vs. "Conservative" that this table emphasizes. (See http://Liberal-Insights.Org/Liberals for a clear definition of precisely what those terms mean.)

Liberal vs. Conservative Administrations:
      To see how much better the country has done under Democratic rather than G.O.P. administrations since that party became the nation's liberal party, in the 1930's, see Liberal-Insights.Org/Democrats/.
1853 - 1856DemocratFranklin Pierce
1857 - 1860DemocratJames Buchanan
1861 - 1865RepublicanAbraham Lincoln
1865 - 1868DemocratAndrew Johnson
1869 - 1872RepublicanUlysses S. Grant
1873 - 1876RepublicanUlysses S. Grant
1877 - 1880RepublicanRutherford Hayes
1885 - 1888DemocratGrover Cleveland
1889 - 1892RepublicanBenjamin Harrison
1893 - 1896DemocratGrover Cleveland
1897 - 1901RepublicanWilliam McKinley, Jr.
1901 - 1904RepublicanTheodore Roosevelt, Jr.
1905 - 1908RepublicanTheodore Roosevelt, Jr.
1909 - 1912RepublicanHoward Taft,
1913 - 1916DemocratWoodrow Wilson
1917 - 1920DemocratWoodrow Wilson
1921 - 1924RepublicanWarren Harding
1925 - 1928RepublicanCalvin Coolidge, Jr.
1929 - 1932RepublicanHerbert Hoover.
1933 - 1936DemocratFranklin D Roosevelt
1937 - 1940DemocratFranklin D Roosevelt
1941 - 1944DemocratFranklin D Roosevelt
1945 - 1945DemocratFranklin D Roosevelt
1945 - 1948DemocratHarry S. Truman
1949 - 1952DemocratHarry S. Truman
1953 - 1956RepublicanDwight D. Eisenhower
1958 - 1960RepublicanDwight D. Eisenhower
1961 - 1964DemocratJ.F. Kennedy - Johnson
1965 - 1968DemocratLyndon Johnson
1969 - 1973RepublicanRichard M. Nixon
1973 - 1976RepublicanNixon & Gerald Ford
1977 - 1980DemocratJimmy Carter
1981 - 1984RepublicanRonald Reagan
1985 - 1988RepublicanRonald Reagan
1989 - 1992RepublicanGeorge W. H. Bush
1993 - 1996DemocratBill Clinton
1997 - 2000DemocratBill Clinton
2001 - 2004RepublicanGeorge W. Bush
2005 - 2008RepublicanGeorge W. Bush

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